| Title |
Big data integration shows Australian bush-fire frequency is increasing significantly
|
|---|---|
| Published in |
Royal Society Open Science, February 2016
|
| DOI | 10.1098/rsos.150241 |
| Pubmed ID | |
| Authors |
Ritaban Dutta, Aruneema Das, Jagannath Aryal |
| Abstract |
Increasing Australian bush-fire frequencies over the last decade has indicated a major climatic change in coming future. Understanding such climatic change for Australian bush-fire is limited and there is an urgent need of scientific research, which is capable enough to contribute to Australian society. Frequency of bush-fire carries information on spatial, temporal and climatic aspects of bush-fire events and provides contextual information to model various climate data for accurately predicting future bush-fire hot spots. In this study, we develop an ensemble method based on a two-layered machine learning model to establish relationship between fire incidence and climatic data. In a 336 week data trial, we demonstrate that the model provides highly accurate bush-fire incidence hot-spot estimation (91% global accuracy) from the weekly climatic surfaces. Our analysis also indicates that Australian weekly bush-fire frequencies increased by 40% over the last 5 years, particularly during summer months, implicating a serious climatic shift. |
X Demographics
The data shown below were collected from the profiles of 83 X users who shared this research output. Click here to find out more about how the information was compiled.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Australia | 22 | 27% |
| United Kingdom | 6 | 7% |
| Spain | 4 | 5% |
| United States | 2 | 2% |
| Nigeria | 1 | 1% |
| Belgium | 1 | 1% |
| Brazil | 1 | 1% |
| Canada | 1 | 1% |
| Germany | 1 | 1% |
| Other | 3 | 4% |
| Unknown | 41 | 49% |
Demographic breakdown
| Type | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Members of the public | 74 | 89% |
| Scientists | 5 | 6% |
| Science communicators (journalists, bloggers, editors) | 2 | 2% |
| Practitioners (doctors, other healthcare professionals) | 2 | 2% |
Mendeley readers
The data shown below were compiled from readership statistics for 161 Mendeley readers of this research output. Click here to see the associated Mendeley record.
Geographical breakdown
| Country | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| United States | 1 | <1% |
| Unknown | 160 | 99% |
Demographic breakdown
| Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Researcher | 36 | 22% |
| Student > Master | 20 | 12% |
| Student > Ph. D. Student | 19 | 12% |
| Student > Bachelor | 15 | 9% |
| Other | 8 | 5% |
| Other | 22 | 14% |
| Unknown | 41 | 25% |
| Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
|---|---|---|
| Environmental Science | 34 | 21% |
| Engineering | 14 | 9% |
| Earth and Planetary Sciences | 14 | 9% |
| Computer Science | 13 | 8% |
| Agricultural and Biological Sciences | 8 | 5% |
| Other | 23 | 14% |
| Unknown | 55 | 34% |
Attention Score in Context
This research output has an Altmetric Attention Score of 283. This is our high-level measure of the quality and quantity of online attention that it has received. This Attention Score, as well as the ranking and number of research outputs shown below, was calculated when the research output was last mentioned on 26 March 2023.
All research outputs
#126,832
of 26,017,215 outputs
Outputs from Royal Society Open Science
#181
of 4,842 outputs
Outputs of similar age
#2,157
of 411,890 outputs
Outputs of similar age from Royal Society Open Science
#4
of 89 outputs
Altmetric has tracked 26,017,215 research outputs across all sources so far. Compared to these this one has done particularly well and is in the 98th percentile: it's in the top 5% of all research outputs ever tracked by Altmetric.
So far Altmetric has tracked 4,842 research outputs from this source. They typically receive a lot more attention than average, with a mean Attention Score of 52.0. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 96% of its peers.
Older research outputs will score higher simply because they've had more time to accumulate mentions. To account for age we can compare this Altmetric Attention Score to the 411,890 tracked outputs that were published within six weeks on either side of this one in any source. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 99% of its contemporaries.
We're also able to compare this research output to 89 others from the same source and published within six weeks on either side of this one. This one has done particularly well, scoring higher than 95% of its contemporaries.